US Attack on Venezuela Fuels Fears of Future Greenland Annexation.

Recent American strike in Venezuela and the seizure of its president have sparked apprehension regarding Washington's designs on the Arctic territory. Followers of the former president's political movement have reportedly set their sights on the strategically important landmass following the operations in the southern hemisphere.

Provocative Messages and Diplomatic Backlash

Merely hours after the initiation of the Caracas campaign, a well-known conservative podcaster, who is married to a senior presidential aide, posted a symbolic image. The graphic depicted Greenland covered in the American flag, accompanied by single-word message: "COMING."

This blatant suggestion to claim the mineral-rich region, which is a part of the North Atlantic alliance, provoked immediate and firm criticism from Danish officials.

"We are close allies and should keep cooperate as such. US security is equally the Arctic's and Denmark’s security," declared the Copenhagen's envoy to the United States. "The Kingdom of Denmark and the US collaborate to guarantee security in the North."

The ambassador additionally pointed out that the kingdom had significantly boosted its defence spending recently, allocating a large amount expressly for Arctic and North Atlantic security. "And yes, we demand complete respect for the sovereign borders of the Kingdom of Denmark," he emphasized.

Political Appointments and Strategic Goals

The tensions were further complicated by the recent appointment of a US state governor as a representative to Greenland. The governor had openly expressed gratitude to the president, stating it was an "honour" to work in a unpaid role to "bring Greenland into the US."

Following the military action in Venezuela, this representative commended the president's actions, linking it to the broader "fight against narcotics."

Ever since returning to office, the US president has consistently alarmed transatlantic allies with his stated interest in Greenland. The island is considered critically important for national security and potential mineral exploitation. It currently houses the northernmost US air base.

Leaving the Door Open to Military Action

In a significant television interview, the president refused to rule out the use of military force to gain control of Greenland. This stance comes during intensifying great-power competition in the polar region. "I don't rule it out. I don't say I'm going to do it, but I don't rule out anything... We need Greenland very badly," he stated.

He described Greenland as having a "tiny amount of people, which we’ll look after, and we’ll cherish them... But we need that for global security."

Growing Tensions and Indigenous Opposition

In response to this constant "rhetoric" of threats, Danish intelligence service took the unprecedented step last month of classifying the United States as a "potential threat."

The leaders of both Greenland issued a joint and stern rebuke: "We have said it very clearly before. Now we say it again... You must not annex other countries."

Public opinion in Greenland shows a nuanced picture. While a vast majority of the territory's inhabitants seek independence from Copenhagen, there is simultaneously scant desire to become part of the United States. The territory has had the legal right to seek independence for over a decade.

Analyst View: A Credible Scenario?

Military analysts are now re-evaluating the possibility of such a action. One thinktank analyst specializing in defence conceded she had once dismissed the sabre-rattling but was "currently not so sure."

"It wouldn't be that hard for the US to station a couple hundred or a couple thousand troops inside of Greenland, and it's unclear to me who could do anything about it," she concluded.

Michele Miller
Michele Miller

Liam is an international trade analyst with a passion for emerging markets and cross-border commerce.